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After four months of basketball, you would think that a team typically is what it is.

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This exercise is done to identify the traits of a national champion by studying past champs. I identified 10 criteria that most champions fall under and put the top four seeds in each region through the gamut to see who has that championship look.

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But the last three national champs have taught us that it’s apparently never too late to change.

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In 2014, Connecticut looked nothing like a title contender. Any Huskies fans who want to raise their hands and say “I picked them” weren’t living in reality. 

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The Huskies were such an outlier I made the decision to not even study their numbers. It was a freak accident, and it was to be treated as such.

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But the last two years have also been unusual in that one criteria the eventual champ fell well short of meeting in the regular season became a huge strength in the postseason.

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In 2015, Duke went from playing meh defense for four months to unleashing one of the stingiest defenses in the history of the tournament. The Blue Devils entered the tourney ranked 57th in adjusted efficiency and finished 12th. That sort of jump over six games just does not happen.

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Last season, Villanova shot a bunch of threes but wasn’t very accurate, entering the tourney making 34.4 percent from deep—37 percent is the target in the blueprint. Somehow, the Wildcats all turned into Stephen Curry and plowed through the bracket nailing exactly 50 percent of their threes.

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This is a long way of saying that the results of this exercise should be considered in picking the champ, but we should also consider the possibility a team somehow changes in the middle of March.

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I’m also 0-for-4 using this data to pick the title winner.

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Last season, the numbers loved Michigan State, which was only the second team in four years to hit all 10 criteria. Sparty, of course, lost in the first round to Middle Tennessee.

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But to justify the sake of this exercise, the numbers did like Louisville in 2013, Duke in 2015 and Villanova last year, so the data is worth running. At least, that’s what I keep telling myself.

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Here are the 10 qualifications, which I’ve adjusted slightly through the years based on rule changes and trends: 

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  • Head coach has reached an Elite Eight.
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  • Team won either its regular-season conference title or conference tournament. (This rule could get replaced next season. Before UConn in 2014, every champ since 1990 except Arizona in 1997 had won a league title. Then last year’s champ failed to do so as well, making this qualifier moot for two straight years. But since UConn in ’14 never happened, the blueprint is currently chalking Duke up as an outlier.)
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  • Ranks in the top 20 in KenPom.com’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings.
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  • Ranks in the top 20 in KenPom.com’s adjusted defensive efficiency ratings.
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  • Shoots better than 37 percent from beyond the arc.
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  • Has at least three double-digit scorers. (Allow rounding, so 9.5-plus qualifies.)
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  • Has a frontcourt scorer who averages more than 12 points per game or will get picked in the first round of the NBA draft.
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  • Rebounds better than 34 percent of its misses on the offensive end. (The cutoff was 37 percent, but because offensive rebounding is less of a priority, the number has dropped. More on this later.)
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  • Holds opponents to less than 45 percent shooting inside the arc.
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  • Has a defensive free-throw rate better than 34 percent. (Free-throw rate is the number of free throws attempted per field-goal attempt.)
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A reminder that only top-four seeds qualify. Connecticut in 2014 is the only champ seeded below the four line in the last 28 years, and as it relates to this blueprint, that never happened.

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Pedigree Tests

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Gonzaga gets a lot of flack for never reaching the Final Four, but Mark Few has been to six Sweet 16s and reached the Elite Eight two years ago.

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Three of the five coaches who haven’t reached an Elite Eight—Florida State’s Leonard Hamilton, UCLA’s Steve Alford and Purdue’s Matt Painter—have at least been to a Sweet 16.

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Coaches with previous Final Four experience do seem to have an advantage. Since 1990, the only coaches to win on their first trip to the Final Four are Jim Harrick (UCLA, 1995), Tubby Smith (Kentucky, 1998), Jim Calhoun (UConn, 1999), Bill Self (Kansas, 2008) and Kevin Ollie (UConn, 2014).

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The conference champ test has not been as important the last few years. UConn was the first since Arizona in 1997 to win the title without winning its league’s regular season or postseason, and then Duke did the same the next year. (The Blue Devils did go 15-3 in the ACC that year and finished just one game back of Virginia.) Villanova, the 2016 Big East regular season champ, was a return to the norm last season.

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Offensive Footprint

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The 2014 Huskies are the only team to finish outside the top 20 in adjusted efficiency in the KenPom.com era (since 2002), so this is one of the most important boxes to check.

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Louisville, Baylor, Purdue and Florida State all fall short here, but that could quickly change with just one efficient night scoring the ball in the tournament. West Virginia was in the top 20 most of the season and has fallen off as of late.

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The Mountaineers rely a lot on their defense to create easy scoring opportunities, and since most tourney teams haven’t ever seen their press, they could return to earlier season form, which was aided by transition opportunities created by live-ball turnovers.

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While overall efficiency is what matters most, a majority of champs get there with accurate three-point shooting, an ability to rebound misses, balanced scoring and at least one scoring big man.

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(Note: As college basketball has trended smaller, many teams employ a small-ball 4 who would typically play on the wing. Those mini 4s still qualify as big men for this test.)

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Kansas is the only team that hits on both marks for three-point shooting and offensive rebounding. Most teams are either-or. The Jayhawks get it done by putting four shooters on the perimeter and then camping center Landen Lucas near the bucket. Lucas, who isn’t that quick or explosive like most elite rebounders, does an excellent job tracking where misses are going to come off. Josh Jackson is also a sneaky offensive rebounder because he can cover ground so quickly.

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The Jayhawks are also a rarity because most teams aren’t able to successfully crash the offensive glass with just one or two guys. Most coaches either decide to send everyone but their point guard to the glass or ignore offensive rebounding almost entirely to get back in transition. And if I were to reevaluate the blueprint—another Michigan State-like pick and I might—the offensive rebounding test is one I might ditch. I lowered the number from 37 percent to 34 percent last year because offensive rebounding numbers have trended downward in recent years, and so many teams are abandoning the glass that it almost makes the category irrelevant.

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Villanova is one of those teams that sacrificed the offensive glass for getting back in transition, and for the second straight year, Jay Wright’s club doesn’t come close to hitting the mark.

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Defensive Footprint

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Are there any 2015 Dukes in this field? First, let’s look at the numbers.

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UCLA would be the most unexpected of the group to make a massive improvement on the defensive end. The Bruins have been trending in a better direction late in the season but it’s hard to see them committing to defense so much so that they become dominant.

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Duke held opponents to 90.1 points per 100 possessions in that tourney run. The only major-conference foe UCLA held below that mark this season was lifeless Washington twice, and one of those games was played without Markelle Fultz.

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Oregon, Florida State, North Carolina, Arizona, Kansas and Duke have the personnel to jump into the top 20.

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The Ducks are the best shot-blocking team in the country but are now without leading shot-blocker Chris Boucher. Florida State has the length and athletes to be nasty on the defensive end. It’s a surprise the Seminoles aren’t consistently there already. Arizona is strong on the perimeter and has a defensive-minded coach in Sean Miller, but its bigs are not as gifted defensively as past ‘Zona interior players.

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Kansas could be the best candidate to pull a Duke. The Jayhawks seem to pick their spots to defend, but this group has been elite before—ranking third in adjusted efficiency last year—and Josh Jackson is the X-factor that Duke had in Justise Winslow. Winslow was a beast on the defensive end in the tournament in 2015, flying all over the floor as a small-ball 4. Jackson is a similar force with the versatility and defensive range to cause havoc.

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And even Duke could pull a 2015 Duke, especially if Harry Giles becomes more of a factor. Giles has the ability to be a stud on the defensive end. He just has been slow to adjust and not super confident in his surgically-repaired knees. He was once expected to be the No. 1 pick in 2017, and he has flashed some of the old Giles lately. But Mike Krzyzewski is so committed to playing small that it could be difficult to find more minutes for Giles. That means Jayson Tatum needs to do his best to pull a Winslow. 

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Results

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The top seeds usually fare better than most, but there is more of a divide this season than in years past. The sum of criteria checked for the ones (34) is higher than any other year I’ve run the numbers with 2013 (32) coming closest. That year a No. 1 seed (Louisville) won the title.

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Villanova checks just as many boxes as last season, but this team is slightly different. Like last year, Wright’s team falls short on the offensive glass. The Wildcats this season shoot it better from deep—although the tourney version of Nova did so too—and their two-point defense, which hit the mark last season, is not nearly as stingy. That’s one reason I’m not sure the Wildcats are as set to go on a deep run. Daniel Ochefu offered rim protection that this team doesn’t have.

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The data likes both Kansas and Gonzaga, which makes me feel good because those are the teams I have in the championship game in my bracket. I quickly feel not so good when I remember how the blueprint has performed the last four years.

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The Zags only fall short on the offensive glass, and again, that’s probably the least important criteria. KU’s unchecked box (adjusted defensive efficiency) is a more glaring shortcoming and KU’s commitment to defense in the tournament could control its fate.

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If you’re picking Florida State, Florida, West Virginia or Butler to win the title, you may want to rethink that selection.

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The last thing that should be noted is that every year I’ve done this—sans 2014, the tournament that didn’t really happen—the eventual champ has checked at least seven boxes.

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So your 2017 national champion will come from this group of schools: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Arizona, Duke, Oregon or Baylor.

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And if it’s not, I give up.

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Unless otherwise noted, statistics courtesy of KenPom.com. 

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C.J. Moore covers college basketball and football for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter: @CJMooreBR.     

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Read more NCAA Tournament news on BleacherReport.com

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The Madness begins in Dayton, Ohio, with two games Tuesday and two more Wednesday providing an enticing appetizer for the excitement to come.

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Although the First Four is considered a preliminary round for teams that barely made it into the 68-team field, those games have proved to be the starting point for some storybook tournament runs.

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Last season, Wichita State emerged from a First Four victory over Vanderbilt to beat No. 6-seeded Arizona in the first round. Other First Four survivors have done more. Tennessee in 2014 and La Salle in 2013 both got to the Sweet 16 by winning three games in the first week.

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That pales in comparison to what Virginia Commonwealth did in 2011. Despite complaints that the Rams should not have been in the tournament at all, they got all the way to the Final Four by winning five straight games.

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The preliminary-round games likely to impact the rest of the tournament are the two involving the last four at-large teams to be selected: Wake Forest, Providence, USC and Kansas State. But the two contests featuring the four lowest-seeded teams of the tournament give these small-conference schools their one chance to shine on the national stage.

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What makes these games different from the first-round games later in the week is that each of the First Four participants plays an opponent with the same seed, making every game a virtual tossup that could come down to the last shot. That is what March Madness is all about.

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Predictions text written by Jake Curtis.

Begin Slideshow

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keyes-football”,”maryland-terrapins-football”,”michigan-wolverines-football”,”michigan-state-football”,”minnesota-golden-gophers-football”,”nebraska-cornhuskers-football”,”northwestern-football”,”ohio-state-football”,”penn-state-football”,”purdue-football”,”rutgers-football”,”wisconsin-badgers-football”],”pac-12-football”:[“arizona-wildcats-football”,”arizona-state-football”,”cal-bears-football”,”colorado-buffaloes-football”,”oregon-ducks-football”,”oregon-state-football”,”stanford-football”,”ucla-football”,”usc-football”,”utah-utes-football”,”washington-huskies-football”,”washington-state-football”],”sec-football”:[“alabama-crimson-tide-football”,”arkansas-razorbacks-football”,”auburn-football”,”florida-gators-football”,”georgia-bulldogs-football”,”kentucky-wildcats-football”,”lsu-football”,”ole-miss-football”,”mississippi-state-football”,”missouri-tigers-football”,”south-carolina-football”,”tennessee-volunteers-football”,”texas-am-football”,”vanderbilt-football”],”independents-football”:[“army-football”,”byu-football”,”notre-dame-football”],”golf”:[“golf”,”golf/teams”,”golf/archives”],”tennis”:[“tennis”,”tennis/teams”,”tennis/archives”],”boxing”:[“boxing”,”boxing/archives”,”sports-odds”],”more”:[“combat-sports”,”motorsports”,”outdoor-sports”,”more-sports”],”combat-sports”:[“boxing”,”mma”,”wwe”],”motorsports”:[“auto-racing”,”formula-1″,”nascar”,”indycar-series”],”outdoor-sports”:[“Action-sports”,”cycling”,”fishing”,”horse-racing”,”track-and-field”],”more-sports”:[“esports”,”cricket”,”rugby”,”rugby-league”,”wnba”,”womens-college-basketball”,”united-states-womens-national-team”,”united-states”,”cfl”,”college-baseball”,”lacrosse”,”sports-odds”],”topLevelLinks”:[“http://bracketchallenge.bleacherreport.com”,”college-basketball”,”nba”,”nfl”,”world-football”,”mlb”,”nhl”,”mma”,”wwe”,”college-football”,”nascar”,”golf”,”tennis”,”boxing”,”more”],”leagueLinks”:[“http://bracketchallenge.bleacherreport.com”,”college-basketball”,”nba”,”nfl”,”world-football”,”mlb”,”nhl”,”mma”,”wwe”,”college-football”,”nascar”,”golf”,”tennis”,”boxing”,”more”],”nonLeagueLinks”:[“trending”,”http://mag.bleacherreport.com/”,”https://www.stubhub.com/?gcid=chDIG-_-geoUS-_-genAllTix-_-dt170201-_-cmpBR_Main_Nav-_-partBleacherReport-_-mktgrBRAND”,”mobile”],”dropdownStack”:[],”leagueOverflow”:[],”links”:”http://bracketchallenge.bleacherreport.com”:”url”:”http://bracketchallenge.bleacherreport.com”,”title”:”Bracket 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–>


MLB Season Preview
Jacob ShaferFeatured ColumnistMarch 15, 2017

Top Prospect Report Cards Midway Through 2017 MLB Spring Training

1 of 16

    Chicago White Sox infielder Yoan Moncada.

    Chicago White Sox infielder Yoan Moncada.Ron Vesely/Getty Images

    Spring training is an opportunity to stretch muscles, shake off cobwebs and get in reps. 

    For MLB’s blue-chip prospects, however, it’s a lot more than that.

    Whether they’re vying for a spot on the Opening Day roster or merely looking to make a strong first impression, the game’s most-hyped up-and-comers can use the exhibition slate as a launching pad.

    Some do, some don’t—which is where the intrigue comes in.

    While the usual small-sample caveats apply, let’s run through the game’s top 15 prospects according to MLB.com and grade their performance thus far. 

    Some have seen significant action, relatively speaking, while other have gotten only a brief audition. But we’re including all of the top 15, with the exception of Alex Reyes. The St. Louis Cardinals right-hander checks in at No. 14 on MLB.com’s rankings but is on the shelf after undergoing Tommy John surgery. 

Andrew Benintendi, LF, Boston Red Sox

2 of 16

    Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images

    Andrew Benintendi entered the spring as the Boston Red Sox’s presumed left fielder and has done nothing to change that thinking. 

    In 30 Grapefruit League at-bats, the 22-year-old is hitting .367 with five doubles, two home runs, six RBI and a 1.158 OPS.

    Boston is considering batting the lefty-swinging rookie second or third in the lineup this season, per Fox Sports’ Ken Rosenthal. After his strong 2016 audition and his performance thus far in the Grapefruit League, he looks capable of handling any assignment. 

    “A lot of times, a player is going to tell you what he’s ready for or capable of and how you would think he would handle adversity by not being fragile mentally,” manager John Farrell said. “If we didn’t feel that way about Andrew, I don’t know that he’d be in the big leagues last year.”

    Grade: A

Yoan Moncada, INF, Chicago White Sox

3 of 16

    Ron Vesely/Getty Images

    Yoan Moncada was the prime chip in the deal that sent ace Chris Sale from the Chicago White Sox to Boston. He’s understandably under the microscope in his first spring with Chicago.

    So far, the results have been mixed.

    Moncada has two doubles and a triple among his six hits and has driven in six runs. He’s also struck out 13 times in 35 plate appearances after whiffing 12 times in 20 plate appearances with the Red Sox last season.

    He has the tools to be a star. He’s just 21 years old. The White Sox are in rebuild mode and can afford to be patient.

    The rawness, though, still obscures the potential greatness. 

    “He’s had some things where you go, ‘He’s not standing out from anybody,'” manager Rick Renteria said, per Paul Skrbina of the Chicago Tribune. “Till he puts the barrel on the ball. Then you go, ‘Ah.’ When he barrels it, there’s some life to it.'”

    Grade: C-

Gleyber Torres, SS, New York Yankees

4 of 16

    Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

    Gleyber Torres hasn’t reached the legal U.S. drinking age and has never played an inning above Single-A. Still, New York Yankees fans can be forgiven for imagining him in pinstripes.

    After winning Arizona Fall League MVP honors shy of his 20th birthday, Torres is 9-for-20 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, six RBI and six runs scored this spring.

    Didi Gregorius, the Yankees’ incumbent shortstop, is playing for the Netherlands in the World Baseball Classic. That’s opened the door for Torres, and he’s sprinted through it.

    “He’s mature for his age,” manager Joe Girardi said of Torres, whom New York acquired from the Chicago Cubs at the 2016 trade deadline for closer Aroldis Chapman, per Dan Martin of the New York Post. “He puts good at-bats up one after another.”

    Grade: A

Dansby Swanson, SS, Atlanta Braves

5 of 16

    Mark Cunningham/Getty Images

    Spring training started on an auspicious note for Dansby Swanson.

    The Atlanta Braves’ top prospect went 7-for-15 with a double and a home run in the Grapefruit League before being sidelined March 4 by a balky back.

    He’s been hitting off a tee and is moving toward a return, per Michael Cunningham of the Atlanta-Journal Constitution

    The Braves are correct to be cautious with their burgeoning franchise player. And while the injury dings his grade, Swanson’s early returns can only be seen as encouraging.

    Grade: 

Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets

6 of 16

    Mark Cunningham/Getty Images

    Amed Rosario was demoted to the New York Mets’ minor league camp Tuesday, an expected move for the organization’s top prospect.

    The 21-year-old showed flashes this spring, going 8-for-30 with a double, but he also struck out seven times.

    With some work at Triple-A, he could easily make his Mets debut at some point in 2017.

    “I don’t think there is any question,” manager Terry Collins said, per Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News. “He’s got to shrink the strike zone a little bit. … I think he kind of got caught being in big league camp and showing everybody what he can do, but I tell you what, he is going to be a good player.”

    Grade: B-

J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies

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    Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

    In 87 games last season at Triple-A, J.P. Crawford hit .244 with a .647 OPS, his lowest totals at any level.

    The 22-year-old remains the top prospect in the Philadelphia Phillies system, but he came into spring with something to prove.

    So far, he’s posted a .214/.290/.250 line in 28 at-bats with one extra-base hit. He went 2-for-2 with a pair of RBI March 11 against the Toronto Blue Jays, but admitted he’d been pressing.

    “Recently I’ve been swinging way too hard,” Crawford said, per MLB.com’s Todd Zolecki. “I’ve been trying to hit a home run every at-bat, basically. Today I just tried to hit the ball right back up the middle and get a base hit, and I did.”

    Grade: C

Victor Robles, CF, Washington Nationals

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    Mark Cunningham/Getty Images

    Victor Robles turned some heads in an intrasquad game in February, using his enviable wheels to leg out an infield hit against Washington Nationals right-hander Tanner Roark.

    Later, he smacked a ball into the outfield in a scene painted by Chelsea Janes of the Washington Post:


    As a teenager in a nameless No. 91 jersey flew around first base and the baseball he hit flew toward center field, a few fans watching in the bleachers behind home plate nudged their neighbors.

    “Is that him?” one asked, a little more audibly than the rest, because the kid was not on her roster. Yes, someone told her: The kid with his socks pulled high, charging around Field 6 at Ballpark of the Palm Beaches, was Victor Robles.

    Since then, Robles has gotten just four hitless at-bats with Washington, striking out once and scoring a run. It’s unfair to grade him on that minuscule sample, but after the Nats dealt several top prospects this winter, it’s safe to say Robles is the buzz-generating jewel of their system.

    Grade: INC

Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates

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    Joe Robbins/Getty Images

    In his first appearance this spring, top Pittsburgh Pirates pitching prospect Tyler Glasnow struck out six in two innings. 

    In three appearances since, he’s surrendered 12 earned runs in 6.2 frames. 

    The tall right-hander is in the conversation for a rotation spot with the Bucs. He wasn’t among the first round of cuts, at least. 

    Still, his odds of breaking camp with the big club diminish with each rough outing.

    “I saw him moving the ball around the first two innings,” manager Clint Hurdle said Monday after Glasnow was roughed up by the Braves, per Stephen J. Nesbitt of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. “But, when the ball gets elevated up here, it’s hard for anybody to pitch. I think he sat on 94 [mph]. That’s nothing that’s going to rearrange anybody’s mindset at the plate. He’s just got some work to do.”

    Grade: C-

Austin Meadows, CF, Pittsburgh Pirates

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    Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

    Speaking of Pirates prospects, 21-year-old Austin Meadows has gotten an extended look with outfielders Andrew McCutchen, Gregory Polanco and Starling Marte all participating in the WBC.

    The 2013 first-round pick has risen to the occasion, going 6-for-20 with three doubles, a home run and six RBI.

    Meadows has battled various injuries in the minor leagues, including hamstring and oblique issues and a broken orbital bone suffered during a game of catch.

    “That experience wasn’t fun, but it made me realize not to take things for granted and to take care of my body,” Meadows said, per Rob Biertempfel of TribLive.com.

    So far this spring, he’s also taking care of business.

    Grade: B+ 

Ozzie Albies, INF, Atlanta Braves

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    Stacy Revere/Getty Images

    Ozzie Albies’ spring debut was delayed as he recovered from September elbow surgery.

    Turns out, it was worth the wait. 

    Starting at second base and batting leadoff March 9, Albies rapped out a single in his first at-bat. Was the 20-year-old tentative after six months of no action?

    “No,” he said, per MLB.com’s Mark Bowman. “I just let it eat.”

    Albies now has three hits in seven at-bats. It’s a small enough bite to give him an incomplete, but credit the diminutive switch-hitter for jumping back into action with both feet.

    Grade: A

Lucas Giolito, RHP, Chicago White Sox

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    Ron Vesely/Getty Images

    When Lucas Giolito was traded from the Nationals to the White Sox as part of a package for outfielder Adam Eaton, it appeared the stud right-hander’s stock had fallen.

    So far this spring, he’s mostly lifting it up again.

    Yes, Giolito struggled Tuesday in his fourth Cactus League start, yielding four earned runs in 0.2 innings.

    Coming into the game, however, he owned a 2-0 record and 2.00 ERA.

    “He’s had really good moments in the games he’s played,” Renteria said, per Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune.

    Like Moncada, Giolito will probably begin the season at Triple-A. He’s shown enough, however, to indicate he’ll be part of the White Sox rotation soon. 

    Grade: B-

Cody Bellinger, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers

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    Rob Tringali/Getty Images

    Sometimes, spring is about learning hard lessons. Just ask Cody Bellinger.

    The Los Angeles Dodgers’ top prospect has struck out 13 times in 33 Cactus League at-bats and owns a .182 average. 

    As J.P. Hoornstra of the Orange County Register put it, “Bellinger has been exposed to more major league pitching in the last week of his life than, well, ever, and the gap in experience is beginning to show.”

    The 21-year-old has eye-opening power and looks like the heir apparent to Adrian Gonzalez at first base.

    Clearly, though, he needs more seasoning.

    “They know I can hit,” Bellinger said. “I know I can hit. My defense has been there. I’m trying to show what I can do on the basepaths as well. Your bat’s not always going to be there.”

    Grade: C-

Eloy Jimenez, LF/RF, Chicago Cubs

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    Rob Tringali/Getty Images

    The Chicago Cubs lineup is stuffed with rising stars. Apparently, it’s time to make room for another one.

    Through 16 spring contests, outfielder Eloy Jimenez has gone 9-for-28 with two doubles and two home runs. He won’t crack the Opening Day roster with Chicago’s outfield depth chart already overcrowded, but he appears to be on the big league fast track.

    “Sky’s the limit,” Cubs vice president of player development Jason McLeod said of the strapping Dominican, per Patrick Mooney of CSN Chicago. “I think he’s someone who can sit in the middle of a lineup and wreak a lot of havoc on some pitching across the major leagues.”

    Jimenez’s bat has backed that up.

    Grade: A

Brendan Rodgers, SS/2B, Colorado Rockies

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    David Zalubowski/Associated Press

    Brendan Rodgers is batting 1.000 in the Cactus League.

    OK, fine, it’s in one at-bat taken Feb. 26 against the White Sox. Rodgers, the third overall pick in the 2013 draft, doubled and scored a run.

    It’s not enough to give him a grade. But, along with the 19 home runs and 31 doubles he clubbed last season at Single-A, it should give Rockies fans hope that the 20-year-old will be ready to do damage at Coors Field before too long. 

    Grade: INC

Michael Kopech, RHP, Chicago White Sox

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    Ron Vesely/Getty Images

    By now you’ve heard the legend of Michael Kopech and his triple-digit heater. 

    It’s showed up this spring, singeing radar guns as expected. Turns out, that’s not enough to befuddle big league hitters.

    Through four spring innings, the flame-throwing 20-year-old has an 11.25 ERA and has given up six hits, including a home run.

    He’s also struck out six and is working with Chicago’s instructors—including renowned pitching coach Don Cooper—on refining his offspeed offerings, per Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times

    “The ultimate goal is to dominate at the big-league level,” Kopech said. “I realize that [the major leagues] might not be right away, but it’s about trusting the process we have going on.”

    Grade: C+

       

    All statistics current as of Tuesday and courtesy of MLB.com and Baseball Reference unless otherwise noted.